A lack of posts recently which hasn’t because of a sulk at bad results, just a lot of renovating work going on at Blogger Towers which senior management (i.e. Mrs Blogger) gave priority to.
The main point of interest for me has been the performance of the Football Analyst service which regular readers of the blog will know that I follow. Graeme who runs the service is brilliantly honest with his emails to subscribers and sent out an excellent email after the recent run of bad results. One of the things that was discussed was people’s attitude to bad runs- it appeared three subscribers took umbrage at the system not making them overnight millionaires and asked for refunds. Now why you would want to do that if you have researched the system and put an adequate betting bank in place I wouldn’t pretend to understand but it just goes to show you how dopey some people are.
Here is an excerpt from one of Graeme’s email updates:
I then check my email box, 6 unread mails……Not sure why but I get this thing that comes over me when I see its emails from subscribers. It’s either going to be from someone saying keep the chin up, someone saying it’s sure to turn soon or it’s one like this:
“Congratulations on fastest tapping out ever on smallest stakes”.
“Don’t bother to contact me ever again and please try not to fool others with your “systems”…”
Now, any sensible tipster would surely just remove the person from the mailing list, ignore it and carry on. I got into an email exchange today and some of the comments in follow up mails are astounding.
“Well, just remember what I told you on sbc forum and how arrogant you were. I really suggest you stop this before you make people go bankrupt”.
“I read your blogs and those of the people that examined you and conclusion is you don’t have enough experience to do this.”
“Systems last ONLY for a limited period of time. After that reality kicks in and you give it all back. and then some.”
“I would be crazy to continue looking at your trends where there is no positive variable anywhere to give any hope of these losses to recover”
“I have a limit for each tipster I follow and you broke every record in reaching it and with minimum stakes.”
That’s just a copy and paste from the emails. What strikes me though is that it is someone who never had much confidence in the service to begin with as he played small stakes (why did he join?), he was clearly not adequately capitalised if he is broke now (overstaked with his small stakes somehow!), clearly doesn’t understand how the systems don’t really care whether or not he thinks they are experienced (does he think I’m picking the bets?), systems only last for a period of time (seems to be 1,2 or 3 years in an optimal time since all sets of systems have varying degrees of live results and they are all losing!) and so on.
Rowan over at Portfolio Investor (a constantly excellent blog that moved and I lost track of) is another follower of TFA and wrote a good piece on the subject
http://www.gallopslive.com/#!/blog/1385-thoughts-on-tfa-staking-and-each-way-betting/
Graemes own monthly summary can be found here and is an interesting read.
http://the-football-analyst.blogspot.co.uk/2013/10/results-update_8.html
Anyway fast forward to this weekend and the TFA service was back with a “bang” with lots of convincing away wins by considerable margins. I actually bottled out somewhat after the recent spate of last minute come backs and laid a fair few of these games when the selections where 2-0 up with 25 minutes to play to make sure that I recovered my stakes (and some) if the games turned. This time they didn’t and I’m sure (some will say wisely) that this is simply eroding the value of the selections however I prefer to think of it as bank preservation!
A last thought, although” one swallow doesn’t make summer” (that may help the porn internet searches) and the TFA service could regress again I wonder how the people who jumped ship feel…
Time will tell.
In other news its coming up to a whole years of laying AP McCoy and rather strangely /annoyingly/frustratingly the results are almost completely neutral. I will be carrying out a more detailed analysis when time allows…
And finally……………………A question linked to the title of this post
Which England number seven has taken the most corners?
Answers on a postcard to the usual address.
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